Volume 1 Issue 2 - 2008
Anticipating the Slowdown in China | Rising Health-Care Costs in Asia | Leadership Risk Diagnostic
Grooming leaders is one of the most critical business needs in the modern workplace, and having the right people in place to lead your organization through tough periods of fast growth and economic downturns is critical. In the United States, the leadership shortage will grow dramatically over the next decade as greater numbers of baby boomers retire.
Studies show that organizations are already feeling the pinch of the leadership shortage. In Aon Consulting's 2008 Benefits and Talent Survey [http://www.aon.com/benefits_survey], 56 percent of the respondents report that they are experiencing a shortage of qualified leadership talent. This is up from 40 percent from the previous year. The survey also revealed employers' biggest leadership shortage concerns, as illustrated below.
Given the imminent leadership shortage and the influence leaders have on business outcomes and shareholder value (abrupt CEO departure can lead to 2.5 percent market capital loss), now is the time to determine the extent of leadership talent risk in your organization. By increasing focus on developing a top tier leadership program, corporations can:
What exactly is this risk? Leadership talent risk is a measure of how likely it is that your organization will not have the leaders needed to direct and grow your business.
While losing key leaders has direct impact on the bottom line, it is more than just a financial burden; it impacts your organization's overall effectiveness, key client relationships, and employee productivity. By conducting an enterprise-wide, senior-management sponsored leadership risk assessment and developing a response to the collective risks, you can help ensure your organization will have the needed leadership talent to compete in this challenging economy.
The following model illustrates the steps necessary to this assessment: 
Armed with the results of such a risk assessment, you can create a comprehensive solution strategy to lessen leadership talent risk. Risk mitigation strategies such as succession planning, leadership development, external hiring, and onboarding can be comprehensively and successfully implemented.
Succession planning and leadership development ensure new leaders are ready and qualified to assume higher level roles as the needs arise. There are some best practices in succession planning that consistently improve leadership "bench strength."
First, systematically assess your leadership talent. During this process, organizations should not only examine their current leadership "bench," but also assess the potential leadership talent in their high performing professional employees. "High potentials," as they are called, will benefit from objective, professional assessment against senior level skills. When valid assessments identify skill gaps, it is easy to focus development on areas of weakness.
The next step is to address skill gaps through systematic development. That is, create a disciplined approach to nurturing talent up and down the leadership pipeline, including, but not limited to:
Then, manage the pipeline and process:
In addition to effective succession planning, organizations can use more proactive recruiting techniques to address leadership shortages, including strategic workforce planning (such as analysis of both internal and external labor supply and demand drivers).
When seeking candidates externally, using prehire assessments is a common practice. Assessments must be reliable, valid and legally defensible—and result in substantial return on investment. Thus, research-based solutions that are legally defensible and designed in accordance with the principles outlined in the Uniform Guidelines on Employee Selection Procedures (1978) and by the top psychological associations are recommended. For leaders, the most frequently applied assessments include interviews, ability/cognitive tests, personality tests, various survey questionnaires, computer-based business simulations, and role-play assessment exercises.
Examples include the following:
Assessment systems should match administrative capabilities and stand up to legal challenges, and, where appropriate, use technology to maximize efficiency (e.g., video or computer-based administration).
Whether your future leadership talent is nurtured from the inside or recruited from the outside, there are still many risks to mitigate once the leader is in the new position. There is a 50 percent chance a new executive will quit or be fired within the first three years. Forty percent fail within the first 18 months, taking with them an investment of hundreds of thousands of dollars. In addition, the cost of replacing a newly recruited executive could be anywhere from three to five times that position's salary. Think about relocation costs—multiplied for the expatriate—as well as all the investment in recruiting, assessing, and selecting a new executive. Consider the client relationships that need to be rebuilt. There is real risk that needs to be managed.
Research has identified some of the "derailers" common to new leaders:
To effectively address these derailers, coaching an executive through his or her onboarding period must be carefully planned. In an effective coaching relationship, an external coach is assigned to help the executive address defined skill areas targeted for improvement. Over the course of several months, the coach works one-on-one with the leader to increase effectiveness. Progress is monitored at key times during the engagement, usually halfway through and again at the close.
When done effectively, executive onboarding coaching will:
With leadership shortages threatening critical business issues—profitability, revenue growth, innovation and service—organizations must understand their leadership talent risk and take action. Some market-leading organizations are already studying the leadership trends and preparing. They believe in effectively managing the risk of a leadership shortage and are proactively identifying, assessing, developing, managing and retaining the right talent.
To learn more about leadership talent risk and how to ensure you will have the right leaders to direct and grow your organization, contact Seymour Adler, Senior Vice President at seymour_adler@aon.com or 212-441-2065, or Amy Mills, Vice President at amy_mills@aon.com or 313-429-9401.