Hurricane Patricia Planning and Response Site
Update on Hurricane Patricia
As of Saturday afternoon, October 24, Aon teams in the US, Mexico, and Spain have received no notices of loss arising from the impact of Hurricane Patricia including ongoing flooding conditions in Mexico and Texas. We continue to monitor the situation closely and will provide updates should conditions change. Any clients or prospects in need of assistance should contact Peter Jagger at [email protected] or Ron Hajjar at [email protected] to arrange immediate response services.
Please continue to coordinate any client contact via the Account Executives to ensure a coordinated approach.
Reminder - All updates and information materials can be found on the Aon Response Room: http://www.aon.com/hurricane-patricia
The Aon Property Risk Consulting teams, in conjunction with Aon Benfield Impact Forecasting Group have developed the Hurricane Patricia Response Site as a resource to clients and industry peers to support storm and flood planning and response activities. Aon is committed to helping organizations respond quickly and appropriately to rapidly changing situations that may impact their business. Aon's Rapid Response and claims teams are ready to support clients in preparing and responding to hurricanes, mitigating losses from hurricanes and other natural disasters, and quantifying and presenting property and business interruption claims. In addition to resources and guidance, periodic storm updates will be posted, but for more timely forecasts, please subscribe to Impact Forecasting Cat Alerts
Sign up for Impact Forecasting Cat Alerts for frequent storm updates here
Hurricane Patricia is a Category 5 storm and remains a historic hurricane. From the National Hurricane Center on Oct. 23, confidence is high that Patricia will make landfall in the hurricane warning area along the coast of Mexico as an extremely dangerous Category 5 hurricane this afternoon or evening. Preparations to protect life and property in the hurricane warning area should have been completed, or rushed to completion, as tropical storm conditions are spreading across the area.
Flooding in the Southwest United States may also occur as forecast models continue to depict the development of an area of low pressure near the Texas coast over the weekend. This system should be non-tropical in nature. This cyclone is expected to draw significant amounts of moisture from Patricia's remnants, and could result in locally heavy rainfall over portions of the northwestern Gulf of Mexico coastal area within the next few days. Organizations located in this should prepare for locally heavy rains and the possibility of significant flooding.
Aon is committed to helping organizations respond quickly and appropriately to rapidly changing situations that may impact their business. We have created this Response Site as a resource to clients and industry peers to support storm and flood planning and response activities. Aon's Rapid Response team is ready to support clients in preparing for hurricanes, mitigating losses from hurricanes and other natural disasters, and quantifying and presenting property and business interruption claims.
Storm Update: Friday, Oct 23, 10:30PM Central Time
Major Hurricane Patricia, located approximately 50 miles (75 kilometers) southeast of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico, is currently tracking north-northeast at 20 mph (31 kph). Satellite and surface data indicate that the center of Patricia made landfall at approximately 6:15 PM local time (23:15 UTC) near Cuixmala, Mexico with maximum sustained winds estimated at 165 mph (270 kph). Despite weakening from its peak intensity earlier on Friday at 200 mph (325 kph), Patricia remained a Category 5 at landfall. Since that time, the eye has become obscured, with a large circular area of deep convection continuing near the center. Given the clear weakening trend, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has reduced the initial wind speed to 130 mph (215 kph). Rapid weakening should continue as the cyclone interacts with the mountains of Mexico. The forecast intensity is lower than the model consensus due to the very high terrain. Patricia should move to the north-northeast and northeast ahead of a mid-level trough over the south-central United States. Full dissipation is expected within the next 24 hours.
The forecast models continue to depict the development of a cyclone near the Texas coast over the weekend. This system is expected to be non-tropical. However, this area of low pressure is expected to draw significant amounts of moisture from Patricia's remnants, and could result in locally heavy rainfall over portions of the northwestern Gulf of Mexico coastline within the next few days.
Hurricane Patricia Forecasts from Aon Impact Forecasting
Hurricane Planning and Response Resources
Access the Q2, 2015 Hurricane Planning edition of the Aon Property Risk Consulting eNewsletter for insight on hurricane planning and response
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