Monte Carlo, 10 September 2006 – Any squeeze on capacity as a result of last year’s hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma has been mitigated by the additional capital that flowed into the reinsurance market in their immediate aftermath, according to a report on the current state of the international reinsurance market launched by leading reinsurance broker Aon at the Monte Carlo Reinsurance Rendezvous. The one exception was US exposed catastrophe business where capacity was particularly tight in both the 1 January and 1 July 2006 renewals.
At the time of last year’s Rendezvous hurricane Katrina had just occurred and Aon made a series of predictions as to the probable outcome based on a range of potential losses. The subsequent occurrences of hurricanes Rita and Wilma pushed the final outcome towards the top loss range and Aon now estimates that insured losses from the 2005 hurricane season will be in the region of US$65 billion to US$90 billion.
Following the end of the hurricane season around US$30 billion flowed into the industry, some US$9.5 billion of which was additional capital raised by existing reinsurers with a further US$9 billion being invested in new start-ups, mainly Bermuda based. Most of the remainder was raised in the capital markets through a range of vehicles including sidecars, private collateralised layers and catastrophe bonds.
Bryon Ehrhart, president, Aon Re Services, commented: “The capital markets are playing an increasing role in providing capacity as buyers, unable to fill their requirements through traditional reinsurance, learn to access these non-traditional sources. The catastrophe bond market in particular will double in size this year to around US$8 billion and now represents only a fraction of the role investors and hedge funds are playing within the reinsurance community.”
He continued: “Hedge funds, like traditional reinsurers, have a significant presence at the Monte Carlo Rendezvous and will meet with many clients seeking additional capacity. While higher reinsurance prices for US hurricane exposed business have attracted many forms of new capital to the reinsurance business, reinsurance in most forms continues to be an accretive form of capital for global insurers. Catastrophe reinsurance for European and other significant non-US world zones remains highly accretive; its cost is generally lower than the insurer’s weighted average cost of capital.”
Looking towards the 1 January 2007 renewals, Aon predicts that capacity for US property catastrophe risks will remain under pressure, but markets in the rest of the world should remain stable barring any significant non-US events.
Notes to Editors
About Aon
Aon Corporation is a leading provider of risk management services, insurance and reinsurance brokerage, human capital and management consulting, and specialty insurance underwriting. There are 46,000 employees working in Aon's 500 offices in more than 120 countries. Backed by broad resources, industry knowledge and technical expertise, Aon professionals help a wide range of clients develop effective risk management and workforce productivity solutions.
This press release contains certain statements related to future results, or states our intentions, beliefs and expectations or predictions for the future which are forward-looking statements as that term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from either historical or anticipated results depending on a variety of factors. Potential factors that could impact results include: general economic conditions in different countries in which we do business around the world, changes in global equity and fixed income markets that could affect the return on invested assets, fluctuations in exchange and interest rates that could influence revenue and expense, rating agency actions that could affect our ability to borrow funds, funding of our various pension plans, changes in the competitive environment, our ability to implement restructuring initiatives and other initiatives intended to yield cost savings, our ability to execute the stock repurchase program, changes in commercial property and casualty markets and commercial premium rates that could impact revenues, changes in revenues and earnings due to the elimination of contingent commissions, other uncertainties surrounding a new compensation model, the impact of investigations brought by state attorneys general, state insurance regulators, federal prosecutors, and federal regulators, the impact of class actions and individual lawsuits including client class actions, securities class actions, derivative actions, and ERISA class actions, the cost of resolution of other contingent liabilities and loss contingencies, and the difference in ultimate paid claims in our underwriting companies from actuarial estimates. Further information concerning the Company and its business, including factors that potentially could materially affect the Company’s financial results, is contained in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.