United Kingdom

COVID-19 Employee Impact Model

Supporting organisations to estimate the impact of COVID-19


24 June 2020

Employers are facing many COVID-19 related challenges including:

Understanding the ongoing impact of COVID-19 on their workforce

Developing optimal return to work strategies under alternative COVID-19 scenarios

Determining how to best address the wellbeing needs of their employees – both on a short term and long-term basis

Deciding what to say to employees to best support them


Aon have designed a solution to support these challenges and help employers understand the risks and impacts of COVID-19 on their employee population. Aon’s COVID-19 Employee Impact Model forecasts the impact of COVID-19 on your employee population based on country-specific infection rates and epidemiologic models. Using the model as a foundation, Aon can help to provide guidance and support for employers to build wellbeing, resilience and return to work plans to help keep employees well while minimising disruptions to your operational model.


The Employee Impact Model draws from several credible epidemiological sources, including the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and the COVID Tracking Project.


In these uncertain times, it is important that organisations have the most current information from which to base their decision making to safely maintain vital operations. Aon’s Employee Impact Model is designed to help employers anticipate the impact of COVID-19 on their workforce and to plan across a wide range of scenarios.


If you think the Employee Impact Model could be beneficial for your business, please get in touch. For more information, please complete the below form and an Aon representative will contact you shortly.

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Disclaimer: The data contained in the COVID-19 Employee Impact Model (the “Model”) generates future forecasts derived from historical information. The Model relies on publicly-available data from multiple sources, which are updated frequently, and which may not always agree with each other. The use of sources does not constitute or imply endorsement of the organisations or sources that provided the data. The Model results are highly dependent upon a number of factors outside of Aon’s control. As such, Aon disclaims any and all representations and warranties with respect to the Model, including accuracy, adequacy, completeness and/or fitness for use.

The Model results have been provided as an informational and educational resource for Aon clients and business partners. It is intended to provide general guidance on potential exposures and is not intended to provide medical or legal advice or address medical concerns or specific risk circumstances. Due to the dynamic nature of infectious diseases, Aon cannot be held liable for the guidance provided. We strongly encourage Aon clients to seek additional safety, medical, and epidemiologic information from credible sources such as the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and World Health Organization (WHO). The analysis does not reflect any change in the patterns of care for non-COVID-19 related morbidity or treatment, including elective and non-emergent procedures, and reliance on this Model for any medical guidance is strictly prohibited. Furthermore, we are currently making no representations of the impact from COVID-19 on other workforce impacts and coverage such as productivity, sick leave, disability, or life insurance. As regards insurance coverage questions, whether coverage applies or a policy will respond to any risk or circumstance is subject to the specific terms and conditions of the insurance policies and contracts at issue and underwriter determinations.