Analysis

Claim Severity and Payment
Trends

Key Takeaway

Aon clients recovered more than $440 million in 2025 on R&W insurance claims, a new record for a single year. To date, Aon clients have recovered almost $3 billion on R&W, tax, and litigation insurance claims in North America. Claim severity appears to be on the rise. Since 2023, the annual median payment has risen steadily to a record high median payment of approximately $8.2 million in 2025.

Claim Payments

The Aon North America transactions solutions claims team helped facilitate approximately 40 R&W insurance claim payments in 2025, totalling more than $440 million, a single year high. 41% of those payments were eight-figures versus 27% in 2024. In total, through the end of 2025, Aon clients in North America have been paid just shy of $1 billion on R&W insurance claims in the last three years alone. Since 2023, the annual median payment has risen steadily to a record high median payment in 2025 of $8.2 million (see Figure 1). The average payment in 2025 was $10.4 million, an amount surpassed only by the average payment in 2019. The 2019 average, however, was driven by a small number of large claim payments combined with fewer overall claims compared to the claims resolved in 2025. The impact of elevated enterprise values and higher multiples—corresponding with lower retentions and expansion of coverage—appears to be reflected in our more recent settlement data.

When looking at the data by policy inception year, the median claim payment has been relatively stable, while the average claim payment has seen more fluctuation. 2020 policies continue to be an outlier in Aon’s data, with record low median and average payment amounts. By contrast, 2022 is pacing for the highest average payment amount for any individual policy year, demonstrating significant variance in the size of claim payments for recent policy years. 5

Figure 1. Average and Median Payment Size by Settlement Year (R&W) (2019-2025)
Figure 2. Average and Median Payment Size by Policy Inception Year (R&W) (2019-2023)

Paid Claims compared to Policy Limits

Figure 3 illustrates the payments received by Aon clients in North America as a percentage of policy limits. Overall, 23% of paid claims were greater than 60% of the policy limit and 14% of paid claims were greater than 80% of the policy limit. Further, 8% of payments were full limit payments, with a number of those claims involving a situation where the insurer recognized the client had suffered a loss well in excess of the policy limits. The meaningful percentage of claims being paid in excess of 60% of the policy limit suggests, in our view, that insureds who purchase 10% of EV may be making a commercially reasonable choice in many circumstances, although appropriate limits will depend on the specifics of each transaction. It is worth noting that this data has not changed notably over the last number of years. This is interesting given that each annual refresh of the data introduces a diverse mix of new claim settlements—spanning different breach types, deal sizes, underwriting approaches, and diligence standards—and, based on this dataset, indicates that the pattern of insurers actually paying R&W claims has remained remarkably consistent.

Figure 3. Aon Data: Paid Loss as a Percentage of Policy Limits (2013-2025)

Primary and Excess Claim Payments

Another notable 2025 development was the payment of nine-figure claims. Between 2023-2025, about 4% of all claims submitted alleged more than $100 million in loss.

These numbers have been driven by increases in the number of active claims on deals with an enterprise value greater than $1 billion, with 51% of all claims filed on these deals of this size submitted between 2023-2025.

Of the active claims on deals with an enterprise value greater than $1 billion (comprising 16% of all active claims), 25% are seeking loss in excess of the policy limit. Claim payments on these deals have been less frequent to date than deals with a smaller enterprise value, but have shown the potential to be significant in size. More than 75% of the claims paid on deals with an enterprise value greater than $1 billion have been at least eight-figures.

Figure 4. Claim Payment Size for Primary Policies (Aon Data and Insurer Data) (2019-2025)
Figure 5. Claim Payment Size for Excess Policies (Aon Data and Insurer Data) (2019-2025)

Claims Frequency

An additional factor contributing to the higher claim payments in recent years is the number of claims asserting loss on the basis of a multiple (or other calculation resulting in more than dollar-for-dollar loss). As shown in Figure 6, an average of 20.6% of all claims on policies placed between 2021-2025 alleged more than dollar-for-dollar loss, compared to 13.5% of claims on policies placed between 2016-2019 (with 2020 being an outlier year at 6%). In 2025, 68% of the total amount paid to insureds was attributable to loss calculated on the basis of a multiple, driven largely by claims alleging breaches of the financial statements or material contracts representations. Prior to 2025, 48% of the total amount paid arises from loss that is greater than dollar-for-dollar. In addition, in this year’s Aon North America Insurer Survey (“Insurer Survey”) 67% of insurer respondents reported they have observed more claims alleging loss on the basis of a multiple in recent years. This is an increase from 41% of insurers in last year’s survey.

As claims become more complex, having an experienced claims team that can strategize with and advocate for its clients is essential. As shown in Figures 4 and 5, Aon clients have resolved more claims above $10 million on primary policies, and above $20 million on excess policies, at a higher rate than the rest of the market. The vast majority of Aon claims work their way through the claim process successfully, with only 3% being denied and 1% progressing to arbitration or litigation to reach a resolution.

Figure 6. Percentage of Claims Alleging More than Dollar-for-Dollar Loss by Policy Inception Year (2021-2025)
References

5 These observations are based on the subset of policies that have produced claims and for which settlement data is available; future developments could change these patterns.