Analysis

Deal Size and Notification Timing

Key Takeaway

51% of R&W notifications arise more than 12 months post-close, accounting for nearly $700 million of paid losses to date, underscoring one of the key differentiators for RWI when compared to a traditional and 12-month seller escrow. The most common breach types noticed after 12 months are compliance with laws (23%), tax matters (21%), and financial statements (13%). Claims coming in more than 24 months post-close are less common at only 24%.

Deal Size Trends

Figure 18 displays the percentage of claims, paid losses, and overall policies (without consideration of premium rates in those bands) placed within four different enterprise value (EV) bands.  Deals with an enterprise value of less than $100 million comprised 41% of the total claims filed on Aon policies while accounting for 34% of all deals. The Aon data has consistently shown a higher claim frequency on deals within the lower enterprise value bands, while experiencing incidences of heightened severity on deals with a higher enterprise value.

These results are in line with Aon’s expectations.  Transactions with an enterprise value of less than $250 million are more likely to have a higher frequency of claims given the lower retentions. Conversely, we would expect deals with a larger enterprise value to have greater recoveries as the retentions and available limits on those transactions are larger, and it generally takes a bigger problem to cause a buyer to assert a claim.

Figure 18: Aon Data: Deal Size Trends (2019-2025 inception year)

Notification timing

We continue to track the timing of claim notices in relation to the closing date. As seen in Figure 19, when looking at policies where coverage for general representations has already expired, 49% of claims submitted by Aon clients were noticed within 12 months of closing. For the first time, more than half of claim notices are coming in more than 12 months post-closing.  Nearly $700 million of Aon’s total paid loss is attributable to claims noticed more than 12 months post-close. As observed in past Aon claims publications, this demonstrates a key differentiator for the use of R&W insurance compared to a typical one-year seller escrow.  The most common breach types noticed after 12 months remain compliance with laws (23%), tax matters (21%), and financial statements (13%). These notifications more than 12 months post-close are predominantly third-party claims, whose discovery timing is outside the policyholder’s control. Examples include various types of audits, and consumer and employee class action complaints.

Figure 19: Aon Data: Time From Closing to Notice Where General Representations Have Expired (2012-2022)
Figure 20: Aon Data: Frequency by Primary Breach Category for Claims Noticed > 12 Months Post-Close (2012-2025)

Key Statistics

Compliance with Laws Compliance with Laws

23%

23% of claims noticed after 12 months are compliance with laws breaches

Financial Statements Financial Statements

18%

18% of total paid loss is attributable to financial statements claims noticed greater than 12 months post-close

Material Contracts Material Contracts

49%

49% of material claims submitted by Aon clients were noticed within 12 months of closing

Spotlight on Latin America

Spotlight on R&W Claims in
Latin America

The Latin American (LatAm) R&W insurance market continues to mature, with both placement activity and claims experience steadily developing. Submission volumes for LatAm deals increased by more than 50% between 2024 and 2025, reflecting a clear rise in buyer and seller interest in using R&W insurance on deals in the region. This heightened demand has translated into a growing number of insured transactions and is expected to result in a corresponding rise in claim frequency. Currently, there are several ongoing claims, including a handful that have resulted in claim payments. While the regional claims track record remains relatively young and is expected to continue evolving as more policies incept and mature, the underlying insurer capability is well established and we have seen claims as high as eight figures paid to date. The carriers that underwrite R&W policies and handle claims in Latin America have long, successful experience managing a significant volume of claims in North America and EMEA. As a result, insureds in LatAm benefit from seasoned claims handlers with deep product knowledge.