Analysis

Claim Frequency, Severity and
Deal Size Dynamics

Claim Frequency

The data around claim notification rates on APAC W&I policies continues to develop, with data in Australia and New Zealand indicating a varied claim rate over the years. As buyers become more familiar with the transaction solutions products, and the volume of policies continues to increase, we anticipate seeing a corresponding rise in claims activity in the region, which we expect to closely align with global averages once policy years have matured.

Buyers have become much more familiar with the claims process and in pursuing policy claims. Datasuggests that there is a higher notification propensity on larger deals and on transactions involving highly regulated sectors, particularly where deals are exposed to competition and consumer protection regimes.

Figure 39: Breach Types

Claim Severity

APAC W&I claims have shown the potential to involve high-severity losses (loss in excess of $10 million), particularly on large-cap Australian and New Zealand deals ( enterprise values above USD 500 million), and on Indian and cross-border deals, where tax and transfer pricing exposures can crystallise several years post-completion.

Tax-driven and tax-adjacent losses (including customs, transfer pricing, and payroll/withholding issues) have also produced some of the largest individual payments in the APAC dataset.

Figure 40: Notification Rate by Policy Inception Year

Deal Size

Unsurprisingly, larger deals have shown the propensity to generate more frequent, higher-value, and more complex claim notifications. This may be because higher-value businesses are often spread across multiple geographies, encompass more business lines, and exhibit greater operational complexity—all of which increase the likelihood that at least one representation is inaccurate or incomplete. Where valuation metrics feed into the loss calculation, this can lead to higher quantum claims.

For several large APAC deals, alleged losses have been at or above policy limits, underscoring the importance of careful limit selection, tower design, and retention strategy on high-value transactions.