What the Data Tells us
Across Aon’s client base, claims and mortality data suggest that around one in five deaths in service claims are related to cardiovascular disease.
The picture is similar in other protection benefits. Around 15% of critical illness claims are linked to cardiovascular disease through heart attacks, strokes or major cardiac surgery, often resulting in prolonged absence, adjusted roles or hours, and long-term health implications. Around 12% of income protection claims are also heart-related, reflecting employees who are unable to work for extended periods due to cardiovascular disease. These are the lagging indicators of risk – the consequences that emerge when underlying factors have not been identified and managed early enough.
Health screening and assessment data provide the corresponding view of “everyday” risk. Aggregated Nuffield Health assessment outcomes for Aon and Nuffield clients show a clear pattern across age cohorts: the proportion of people receiving “red” scores – indicating cause for concern – rises steadily for key cardiovascular risk markers. In younger groups, a minority receive red scores for body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, blood pressure and cholesterol; by mid-life and beyond, a much larger share are in the red, particularly for BMI and waist circumference, with blood pressure and cholesterol also worsening with age.
The 2025 aggregated screening data underline this trend. Among those with red scores:
- Obesity rates rose steadily with age, reaching 70% of those in the 60–69 cohort.
- Elevated blood pressure increased from 8% of 20–29 year olds to 61% of those aged 70+.
- Regular alcohol consumption (four days a week or more) rose from 3% of 20–29 year olds to 27% of those aged 60–69.
Behavioural data broadly align with this clinical profile, but with some interesting exceptions. Sedentary behaviour was more prevalent in the younger working population, present in 96% of 20–29 year olds with a red score, compared with 85% of those aged 60–69. Poor mental health was recorded in 42% of 20–29 year olds, declining steadily across age cohorts to 17% in the 60–69 age group.
Taken together, this creates a clear narrative for employers: the everyday risk patterns visible in today’s screening data are directly connected to tomorrow’s claims and deaths.