Report
At the midpoint of 2025, organizations are contending with a risk landscape that is both fast-moving and deeply interconnected. From geopolitical uncertainty to climate volatility and digital disruption, the sources of uncertainty are multiplying, and so are the opportunities for those prepared to act. In the context of this environment, this report is designed to help you navigate emerging risks, capitalize on market conditions, and make better decisions with confidence.
Among the most salient drivers of the Q2 market are geopolitical and systemic risk, as well as climate, cyber and infrastructure threats.
At the time of writing, the deadline for reciprocal tariffs is quickly approaching, and is expected to have significant implications for price inflation, supply chains, and global trade dynamics. Meanwhile, the turbulent geopolitical environment in the Middle East serves as a stark reminder of the speed at which such events can escalate and the very real implications they carry for risk and insurance. The ongoing Russia-Ukraine war is a case in point: A U.K. court decision in June on coverage for aircraft stranded in Russia due to sanctions will have ramifications for the aviation war risk market as insurers come under pressure to recoup losses and settle similar claims.
Extreme weather, nuclear verdicts and large supply chain events continue to test resilience. The widespread power outage that affected Spain and Portugal in April is just one example that highlighted the vulnerability of critical infrastructure. At the same time, cyber risk is accelerating and the impact of Artificial Intelligence bringing both risks and rewards is just beginning. Yet cyber remains significantly underinsured. Closing the cyber insurance gap and helping firms navigate this evolving risk remains one of the industry’s most urgent and strategic imperatives.
Despite this volatility, Q2 brought favorable conditions across most (re)insurance markets. The second quarter of 2025 saw a broadening of insurer appetite, with most geographies and lines of business benefiting from ample capacity and healthy competition. Property pricing continues to improve, with double-digit price reductions increasingly available, especially on preferred occupancies and those with good loss records. Directors and officers and cyber markets remain soft, and non-U.S. exposed casualty is stable and competitive. However, insurers continue to differentiate and placements with significant U.S. casualty exposure, automobile and certain natural catastrophe perils remain challenging.
Now is the time for clients to take advantage of market conditions. In today’s competitive market, clients will find that insurers are more flexible on terms, and more willing to engage with insureds on enhancements to coverages, limits and attachment points.
At the same time, the diversity of capital and products available to clients continues to expand, with many buyers exploring a combination of captives, parametric triggers, structured and facultative solutions alongside traditional risk transfer. Aon continues to help clients shift from a transactional mindset to a total cost of risk approach, leveraging analytics, alternative capital, and advisory services to manage volatility and unlock strategic value.
While current market conditions are favorable, they are also fragile and likely to be temporary. The systemic change in loss activity across property, cyber and U.S. casualty continues. Also, there has been fairly limited new capital coming into the traditional (re)insurance market. Large or surprising loss events, in tandem with geopolitical or financial market volatility, could affect a rapid change in insurer appetite for certain risks. Reviewing insurance strategies with this in mind, and considering a wide range of risk capital, will put buyers in a strong position to weather any potential future storms.
Report
Expand the options below to read a summary of how the insurance market trended in Q2 2025 across pricing, capacity, underwriting, limits, deductibles and coverages.
| Pricing | Capacity | Underwriting | Limits | Deductibles | Coverages | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | -1-10% | Abundant | Flexible | Increased | Flat | Broader |
| EMEA | -1-10% | Abundant | Prudent | Flat | Flat | Stable |
| Latin America | -1-10% | Ample | Flexible | Increased | Flat | Broader |
| North America | Flat | Ample | Prudent | Flat | Flat | Stable |
| Pacific | -11-10% | Abundant | Flexible | Increased | Flat | Stable |
Soft market pricing continues across wide swaths of the market including cyber, directors and officers, and increasingly, property. The main geographical exceptions are North America, where pricing is more moderate, and Japan, where insurers, seeking to improve underwriting profitability, have continued to increase rates across-the-board. Property pricing continues its favorable trend, with significant reductions increasingly available, especially for preferred risks. Many local casualty markets are also seeing modest pricing reductions, although U.S. exposed risks and automobile remain more challenging.
Capacity is ample-to-abundant, with over-subscription becoming increasingly common for preferred risks. Many markets and lines of business are experiencing increased levels of capacity as incumbent insurers target growth, and with growing competition from new entrants and international insurance markets. More favorable treaty and facultative reinsurance conditions are also bolstering capacity. In contrast, U.S. exposed casualty risks continue to experience more conservative capacity deployment due to adverse U.S. litigation trends. Focused on managing volatility, underwriters also continue to deploy limits cautiously for natural catastrophe exposures.
Overall, underwriting remains disciplined, but increasingly flexible as insurers broaden their appetite and growth ambitions. Underwriters continue to differentiate, with preferred, loss-free and well-managed risks – especially directors and officers and property - experiencing the most favorable and flexible environment. Underwriting is generally more rigorous for casualty and automobile. Detailed, quality data remains key to securing favorable terms from insurers, especially for complex risk placements, those with significant natural catastrophe exposures, and cyber risks.
Increasingly competitive market conditions and the availability of new risk analytics tools offer clients a timely opportunity to review limit adequacy and reinvest premium savings in the purchase of higher limits that take into account inflationary trends, supply chain complexity, and geopolitical and economic uncertainty. There are, however, some exceptions where insurers are more cautious of offering higher limits, or where buyers are considering limit options to manage challenging risk conditions, such as for U.S. exposed casualty, automobile and some natural catastrophe exposures.
As with limits, many clients are taking advantage of current market conditions to consider deductible options, particularly where increases had been required in recent years, and lower deductibles are often available in the market, especially for cyber and directors and officers. In other pockets, deductibles are increasing, such as for loss-impacted property placements in Asia and Latin America, natural catastrophe risks in Canada, and automobile placements, as insurers respond to higher accident frequency and rising claims costs.
Increasing competition in certain lines of business is paving the way for more flexible terms and conditions and the removal of non-concurrent terms from the previous hard market cycle. More restrictive terms are being applied to natural catastrophe property risks in Canada, while casualty underwriters continue to apply PFAS exclusions.
Capability Overview
Casualty Risk Management and Insurance
Article
5 Top Trends for Risk Capital in 2025
Expand the options below to read a summary of how the insurance market trended in Q2 2025 across key lines of business, including Automobile, Casualty/Liability, Cyber, Directors & Officers and Property.
| Automobile | Casualty/Liability | Cyber | Directors & Officers | Property | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | Moderate | Soft | Soft | Soft | Soft |
| EMEA | Challenging | Moderate | Soft | Soft | Soft |
| Latin America | Soft | Moderate | Soft | Soft | Soft |
| North America | Challenging | Moderate | Soft | Soft | Soft |
| Pacific | Moderate | Soft | Soft | Soft | Soft |
Market conditions vary widely by geography, with the most challenging conditions experienced in the U.S., where adverse loss trends have continued to drive double-digit rate increases for some renewals, and in EMEA, where claims inflation remains a key consideration. While, broadly, insurers remain cautious, there are positive signs. Vehicle repair costs and downtimes remain elevated, but supply chain delays are abating. Pricing is moderating in several markets and competition for preferred risks is gaining momentum. Alternative program structures and fleet risk management actions, such as the use of telematics, are helpful levers in achieving superior placement outcomes.
The casualty market remains bifurcated. Product lines and risks that are exposed to the effects of rising U.S. litigation costs and claims severity driven by nuclear verdicts and litigation funding – including international risks with U.S. exposures – face challenging conditions as underwriters continue to evaluate and adjust their underwriting strategies. Outside the U.S., casualty markets are generally seeing healthy competition for domestic risks, with modest price reductions and long-term agreements available for preferred risks. Workers’ compensation in the U.S. is also benefiting from strong insurer appetite, resulting in a buyer-friendly environment.
The cyber market continues to benefit from abundant capacity and healthy competition. Despite the ongoing threat posed by ransomware, and concerns for systemic risks and the impact of artificial intelligence, buyer friendly market conditions continue, with modest price reductions and healthy insurer appetite. Underwriting remains robust and risk differentiation is key. Many insureds are using premium savings to purchase additional limits or expand coverage.
With an abundance of capacity, the directors and officers market remains buyer friendly. In addition to moderate premium decreases, market conditions allow for coverage enhancements, as well as lower deductibles in some cases. While the overall picture remains favorable for insureds, price reductions are decelerating as insurers focus on the need for sustainable pricing. Insurers are also mindful of the potential impacts of geopolitical and macroeconomic volatility, as well as regulatory changes and litigation trends, including an uptick in security class actions. A small number of insurers have exited the U.S. directors and officers market recently - a development Aon is monitoring.
Conditions in the property market continue to improve. In the U.S., most placements are experiencing double-digit rate reductions, as well as increasing flexibility around coverage and terms. Most other geographies are seeing soft-to-moderate conditions with price reductions increasingly available, while Japan and India are experiencing rate increases following local regulatory changes. With an above normal hurricane season forecast for 2025, natural catastrophe exposures remain a key concern, especially in markets that have experienced recent large losses, such as Canada. However, the availability of capacity, together with competitive pressures, is helping to offset some of these challenges more generally.
Below are five key claims trends and developments we’ve been closely monitoring this quarter.
The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has taken a significant turn following Israel’s decision to formally expand the scope to include Iran. While this situation continues to unfold, we have already seen a few notifications tied to this development. If this situation further escalates, the broader consequences and the resulting impact on claims remains uncertain, especially as nations weigh positions of neutrality, support, or condemnation. As the situation evolves, potential implications for political violence, political risk, trade credit, and specialty lines will be closely watched.
Trade tensions, particularly those involving U.S. tariffs and retaliatory measures by global trading partners, are impacting claims — especially through price inflation. These tariffs are beginning to show a measurable impact across supply chains, with insurance-linked costs rising accordingly. For example, the latest Crawford report on tariffs and claims inflation indicates that homebuilding costs in the U.K. may increase by an average of £10,000 per unit. This is just one example, but the consequences are far-reaching. With tariffs on raw materials impacting claims across commercial lines, Baker Tilly is projecting U.S. auto insurance premiums could rise by as much as 19% by end of 2025 due to repair and parts costs rising.
Following the U.K. Commercial Court’s decision in the Aercap case relating to aircraft stranded in Russia due to sanctions, it remains to be seen whether the (re)insurance markets will respond by increasing premiums and making terms more restrictive. The case could serve as a bellwether for future disputes in the aviation and war risk markets, and its ripple effects may impact how similar claims are evaluated and reserved globally.
Cyber continues to be one of the most dynamic and fast-evolving classes of risk. The rise of deepfake technology has moved from theoretical concern to tangible threat, with clear implications for claims. Fraudulent videos, emails, and voice recordings are being used to deceive employees and manipulate decision-making. Clients are strongly advised to invest in regular training, update firewall protections, and enforce strict verification protocols to reduce the likelihood of costly errors resulting from digital impersonation.
Insurers continue to prioritize investment in enhanced IT systems which can leverage claims data and harvest valuable insights. However, many still face challenges due to reliance on multiple legacy systems and manual processes, making it difficult to amass consistent and meaningful data for tracking trends. We have seen significant momentum among major insurers who recognize the importance of claims data, the value of broker insights during system development, and the use of AI to automate routine processes for less complex claims.
As always, we will continue to monitor these and other developments to support our clients with timely insights and practical guidance. In a world of increasing uncertainty, the ability to respond swiftly and strategically to claims-related challenges has never been more important.
Expand the options below to read a summary of regional insurance market trends from Q2 2025.
For more detailed analysis including claims trends, download and read the full report here.
| Overall | Pricing | Capacity | Underwriting | Limits | Deductibles | Coverages | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | Soft | -1-10% | Abundant | Flexible | Increased | Flat | Broader |
| Automobile | Casualty/Liability | Cyber | Directors & Officers | Property | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia | Moderate | Soft | Soft | Soft | Soft |
| Overall | Pricing | Capacity | Underwriting | Limits | Deductibles | Coverages | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMEA | Soft | -1-10% | Abundant | Prudent | Flat | Flat | Stable |
| Automobile | Casualty/Liability | Cyber | Directors & Officers | Property | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMEA | Challenging | Moderate | Soft | Soft | Soft |
| Overall | Pricing | Capacity | Underwriting | Limits | Deductibles | Coverages | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latin America | Soft | -1-10% | Ample | Flexible | Increased | Flat | Broader |
| Automobile | Casualty/Liability | Cyber | Directors & Officers | Property | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latin America | Soft | Moderate | Soft | Soft | Soft |
| Overall | Pricing | Capacity | Underwriting | Limits | Deductibles | Coverages | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North America | Moderate | Flat | Ample | Prudent | Flat | Flat | Stable |
| Automobile | Casualty/Liability | Cyber | Directors & Officers | Property | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North America | Challenging | Moderate | Soft | Soft | Soft |
| Overall | Pricing | Capacity | Underwriting | Limits | Deductibles | Coverages | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacific | Soft | -11-20% | Abundant | Flexible | Increased | Flat | Stable |
| Automobile | Casualty/Liability | Cyber | Directors & Officers | Property | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacific | Moderate | Soft | Soft | Soft | Soft |
To see our full analysis of market conditions and our advice to clients, download the report here.
Report
General Disclaimer
The information contained herein and the statements expressed are of a general nature and are not intended to address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Although we endeavor to provide accurate and timely information and use sources we consider reliable, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future. No one should act on such information without appropriate professional advice after a thorough examination of the particular situation.
Terms of Use
The contents herein may not be reproduced, reused, reprinted or redistributed without the expressed written consent of Aon, unless otherwise authorized by Aon. To use information contained herein, please write to our team.
Our Better Being podcast series, hosted by Aon Chief Wellbeing Officer Rachel Fellowes, explores wellbeing strategies and resilience. This season we cover human sustainability, kindness in the workplace, how to measure wellbeing, managing grief and more.
Expert Views on Today's Risk Capital and Human Capital Issues
Expert Views on Today's Risk Capital and Human Capital Issues
Expert Views on Today's Risk Capital and Human Capital Issues
Better Decisions Across Interconnected Risk and People Issues.
The construction industry is under pressure from interconnected risks and notable macroeconomic developments. Learn how your organization can benefit from construction insurance and risk management.
Stay in the loop on today's most pressing cyber security matters.
Our Cyber Resilience collection gives you access to Aon’s latest insights on the evolving landscape of cyber threats and risk mitigation measures. Reach out to our experts to discuss how to make the right decisions to strengthen your organization’s cyber resilience.
Our Employee Wellbeing collection gives you access to the latest insights from Aon's human capital team. You can also reach out to the team at any time for assistance with your employee wellbeing needs.
Explore Aon's latest environmental social and governance (ESG) insights.
Our Global Insurance Market Insights highlight insurance market trends across pricing, capacity, underwriting, limits, deductibles and coverages.
Better Decisions Across Interconnected Risk and People Issues.
How do the top risks on business leaders’ minds differ by region and how can these risks be mitigated? Explore the regional results to learn more.
Trade, technology, weather and workforce stability are the central forces in today’s risk landscape.
These industry-specific articles explore the top risks, their underlying drivers and the actions leaders are taking to build resilience.
Our Human Capital Analytics collection gives you access to the latest insights from Aon's human capital team. Contact us to learn how Aon’s analytics capabilities helps organizations make better workforce decisions.
Read our collection of human capital articles that explore in depth hot topics for HR and risk professionals, including using data and analytics to measure total rewards programs, how HR and finance can better partner and the impact AI will have on the workforce.
Explore our hand-picked insights for human resources professionals.
Our Workforce Collection provides access to the latest insights from Aon’s Human Capital team on topics ranging from health and benefits, retirement and talent practices. You can reach out to our team at any time to learn how we can help address emerging workforce challenges.
Our Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) collection gives you access to the latest insights from Aon's thought leaders to help dealmakers make better decisions. Explore our latest insights and reach out to the team at any time for assistance with transaction challenges and opportunities.
The challenges in adopting renewable energy are changing with technological advancements, increasing market competition and numerous financial support mechanisms. Learn how your organization can benefit from our renewables solutions.
How do businesses navigate their way through new forms of volatility and make decisions that protect and grow their organizations?
Our Parametric Insurance Collection provides ways your organization can benefit from this simple, straightforward and fast-paying risk transfer solution. Reach out to learn how we can help you make better decisions to manage your catastrophe exposures and near-term volatility.
Our Pay Transparency and Equity collection gives you access to the latest insights from Aon's human capital team on topics ranging from pay equity to diversity, equity and inclusion. Contact us to learn how we can help your organization address these issues.
Forecasters are predicting an extremely active 2024 Atlantic hurricane season. Take measures to build resilience to mitigate risk for hurricane-prone properties.
Our Technology Collection provides access to the latest insights from Aon's thought leaders on navigating the evolving risks and opportunities of technology. Reach out to the team to learn how we can help you use technology to make better decisions for the future.
Our Trade Collection gives you access to the latest insights from Aon's thought leaders on navigating the evolving risks and opportunities for international business. Reach out to our team to understand how to make better decisions around macro trends and why they matter to businesses.
Better Decisions Across Interconnected Risk and People Issues.
With a changing climate, organizations in all sectors will need to protect their people and physical assets, reduce their carbon footprint, and invest in new solutions to thrive. Our Weather Collection provides you with critical insights to be prepared.
Our Workforce Resilience collection gives you access to the latest insights from Aon's Human Capital team. You can reach out to the team at any time for questions about how we can assess gaps and help build a more resilience workforce.
Article
With the strong market, reinsurers must deepen insurer partnerships, use capital to create a more sustainable market and lean into a changing risk landscape.
Report
As more companies become comfortable using captives and understanding the value they add, captives are likely to become further embedded into corporate risk strategies, regardless of market conditions.
Article
Overview of the current trade credit insurance market and outlook on trend developments.