2025 Transaction Volumes
After a quiet start to the PRT market in 2025, the fourth quarter was exceptionally busy. There will be more premium settled in the fourth quarter than in the first three quarters combined. We expect $45 billion to $50 billion in premium in 2025, subject to final insurer sales reporting.
Fewer jumbo transactions at the beginning of the year allowed insurers to focus their resources on smaller transactions. New insurers entering the market in 2025 also contributed to more bidders. These dynamics created very competitive pricing, with more retiree lift-outs pricing below PBO than ever before.
Buy-Ins on the Rise
There was a significant increase in pension risk transferred via buy-ins in 2025. We anticipate $15 billion to $20
billion by year end, compared to $3 to $4 billion annually in buy-ins in recent years. Activity continues to grow as
buy-ins provide a way to transfer financial risk in the current attractive pricing market.
Buy-in strategies allow plan sponsors to evaluate annuity pricing and test various economic outcomes, most commonly
as a precursor to plan termination. Buy-ins can also be used as an alternative investment strategy for plan sponsors
looking to de-risk.
More insurers developed their buy-in solution in 2025, with about half of the U.S. PRT market now able to participate
on buy-ins. All large market insurers now have a buy-in contract, with more options also becoming available for
small and mid-market transactions.
Litigation Update
Lawsuits alleging a breach of fiduciary duties with respect to the selection of a particular insurer(s) in PRT transactions has been ongoing for the last two years. Through December 2025, there are lawsuits filed against 10 plan sponsors and fiduciaries. Half of these cases released decisions on filed motions to dismiss, with more requests being granted than denied. Plan sponsors are seeking appeals on cases where motions to dismiss were denied. We continue to monitor these cases as they progress through the courts.